Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.024665 0.026535 0.028487 0.030679 0.033073 0.035613 0.038514
2025-01-05 0.021465 0.024106 0.027005 0.030434 0.034393 0.038835 0.044217
2025-01-12 0.019044 0.022072 0.025524 0.029770 0.034882 0.040872 0.048475
2025-01-19 0.017733 0.021093 0.025044 0.030069 0.036336 0.043959 0.054031
2025-01-26 0.016531 0.020095 0.024397 0.030021 0.037252 0.046337 0.058771
2025-02-02 0.015723 0.019487 0.024139 0.030377 0.038625 0.049299 0.064397
2025-02-09 0.014760 0.018602 0.023446 0.030085 0.039079 0.051028 0.068433
2025-02-16 0.013986 0.017897 0.022921 0.029950 0.039688 0.052952 0.072813
2025-02-23 0.013261 0.017207 0.022363 0.029710 0.040106 0.054593 0.076859
2025-03-02 0.012693 0.016688 0.021992 0.029687 0.040797 0.056626 0.081581
2025-03-09 0.012044 0.016021 0.021378 0.029274 0.040882 0.057758 0.084990
2025-03-16 0.011406 0.015335 0.020697 0.028718 0.040709 0.058471 0.087760
2025-03-23 0.010900 0.014816 0.020231 0.028454 0.040962 0.059852 0.091716
2025-03-30 0.010426 0.014317 0.019769 0.028167 0.041155 0.061140 0.095605
2025-04-06 0.009889 0.013705 0.019112 0.027548 0.040789 0.061512 0.097969
2025-04-13 0.009645 0.013506 0.019046 0.027817 0.041819 0.064162 0.104388
2025-04-20 0.009332 0.013189 0.018789 0.027772 0.042338 0.065995 0.109505
2025-04-27 0.009137 0.013039 0.018772 0.028097 0.043464 0.068896 0.116741
2025-05-04 0.008803 0.012665 0.018397 0.027831 0.043592 0.070098 0.120946
2025-05-11 0.008525 0.012364 0.018121 0.027707 0.043947 0.071701 0.126010
2025-05-18 0.008241 0.012043 0.017799 0.027489 0.044122 0.072990 0.130557
2025-05-25 0.008018 0.011809 0.017603 0.027468 0.044632 0.074898 0.136451
2025-06-01 0.007728 0.011457 0.017206 0.027091 0.044494 0.075610 0.140002